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agent-based modelling of energy infrastructure transitions

Agent-Based Modelling of Energy Infrastructure Transitions
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Chappin, E. J. L., & G. P. J. Dijkema: Agent-Based Modeling of Energy Infrastructure Transitions, pp. 106-130. In: International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2010. [s.l.]: Inderscience, 2010. ISSN: (Print): 1475-3219

Emile Chappin
Gerard Dijkema

Shaping energy transitions not only requires technical system innovation and redesign but also new policies, regulations, Research and Development (R&D) and investment strategies – a transition assemblage. Transition management thus equates to designing and implementing such an assemblage. Agent-Based Models (ABMs) may be used for ex-ante assessment of transition assemblage alternatives. To help determine whether the design of a particular model is fit for its purpose, we have developed a typology. Three models were assessed:

  1. a model on the impact of CO2 policy on the power production sector
  2. a model on the transition of the global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) infrastructure
  3. a model on the imminent transition caused by the arrival of Light-Emitting Diode (LED) lighting systems.

All three models can be used to compare transition assemblage alternatives and could be adapted to assess regulatory adaptability.

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