ChiongMeza, C.M. and G.P.J. Dijkema: Introduction of Renewable Energy Sources in Brazil: An agent-based specification based on causal loop analysis, pp. 1-9. In: Proceedings of the 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 25 – 29 (2010). At: Seoul, Korea. s.l.: System Dynamics Society, 2010. Eds.: Man-Hyung Lee (Conference Chair). ISBN: 978-1-935056-06-5.
The depletion of oil sources and the phenomenon of climate change have converged for questioning the sustainability of the current industrialised society. The severe repercussions of both may invoke for a transition of the existing energy infrastructure to adapt our current society to alternative energy sources. The management of any transition process is limited due to the complexity of energy infrastructures, which are complex, large socio-technical systems intertwining actors decision-making and technical regimes, and the insufficient understanding of the phenomenon of transitions. To unravel the phenomenon of transitions, a multi-disciplinary theoretical framework for transition decomposition has been developed. Here, actors in the energy infrastructure system are put at the core of this framework as the motor of transitions. This transition framework is applied to the historical case of Brazil and the sugarcane ethanol as fuel for light vehicles. Causal loop diagrams are then applied to trace the dynamics between actors and are used as a stepping stone for the specification of actors, making them suitable for agent-based modelling.